Societe Generale’s team examines China’s position in U.S.–Iran tensions, noting that Iran supplies most of China’s Oil but disruptions are manageable.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michelle Bullock crossed the wires on Tuesday March 3 and she was hawkish. Bullock said that data justified February’s rate hike and that Middle East conflict adds to uncertainty.
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky warns CEE currencies face downside as the Iran-related energy shock hits an import-dependent region. Higher Oil and gas prices and a stronger Dollar are expected to weigh on CEE FX and delay rate-cut plans.
HSBC Asset Management argues several emerging markets are entering a structurally bullish phase, highlighting South Africa’s improving fiscal stance and policy credibility.
The business activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded in February, albeit at a slower pace than in January, with the Institue for Supply Management's (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) edging lower to 52.4 from 52.6 in January.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that UK political risks, including Labour’s by‑election defeat and potential leadership challenge, continue to weigh on Pound sentiment.
Governor of the Österreichische Nationalbank and member of the European Central Bank (ECB), Martin Kocher, said that the ECB should be prepared to move interest rates quickly in either direction in a Wall Street Journal interview on Monday.
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Vincent Stamer argues that the Oil-driven inflation rise will weigh on Euro area GDP this year, trimming growth by more than 0.1 percentage points.
Rabobank links the Iran strikes to a broader US ‘Grand Macro Strategy’ under Trumpism, aimed at controlling key raw materials and energy flows that China relies on.
United States (US) Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed that he would never put a time frime to the Iran operation, saying he is worried that Iran has long-range strike capabilities that can hit the tactical operations center, causing US casualties at a Pentagon press conference on Monday.
ABN AMRO economists assess how higher Brent Oil prices could affect eurozone inflation and the ECB.
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen says the Swiss Franc has become the ultimate currency safe haven, even ahead of the Dollar and Japanese Yen.
Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer notes that Brent crude Oil has reacted only moderately so far to the Middle East war and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, briefly rising above $80 before easing.