MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan argues that sustained Oil price spikes linked to the Iran conflict would pressure most Asian currencies, as regional economies are largely net Oil importers. He highlights KRW, INR and PHP as more vulnerable, while CNH and MYR appear relatively resilient.

Here is what you need to know on Monday, March 2:

India FX Reserves, USD dipped from previous $725.73B to $723.61B in February 16

India Federal Fiscal Deficit, INR: 9814.07B (January) vs 8558.42B

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.

South Africa Private Sector Credit: 8.83% (January) vs 8.74%

Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending February 21 came in at 212K, below economists' expectations of 215K but slightly above the previous reading of 208K. Continuing Claims also declined to 1.833 million, signaling stabilization in labor market conditions.

USD/CHF recovers some ground on Thursday, rising some 0.19% as the Greenback appreciates and bounces off daily lows beneath 0.7700 on solid US data. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7743, yet it remains shy of the key resistance level seen at 0.7817, the February 2 daily peak.

Silver price loses its bright on Thursday, moving in the opposite direction of Gold, which remains steady as the US Dollar recovers some ground and rises. Stronger than expected US jobs data, keeps the white metal pressured in the mid-North American session.

Chiliz (CHZ) is trading red below $0.035 at the time of writing on Thursday, retracing after a 6% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.

Cardano (ADA) price steadies at $0.29 on Thursday after surging over 14% in the previous day. Improving on-chain and derivatives data support a positive outlook as whale wallets are increasing exposure alongside positive funding rates.

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan argues that stronger Asia exports in early 2026 are a key support for regional currencies, even as new US tariff investigations under the Trump administration create uncertainty.

Litecoin (LTC) is extending its correction, trading below $50.50 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after losing 4% the previous day.

The USD/CNH pair trades with mild gains near 6.8905 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. However, the potential upside for the pair seems limited near a 34-month low amid US tariff turmoil. 

The US Dollar (USD) recovered most of its intraday losses and trades broadly stable on Monday, after markets digested the Supreme Court’s decision agains United States (US) President Donald Trump's tariffs and his move to impose additional levies over the weekend.

GBP/JPY retreats on Monday, down 0.22% yet it remains consolidated within the 208.00-209.25 range, with traders eyeing a key break of support level seen at around 207.75. At the time of writing, the cross trades at 208.57 after reaching a high of 209.23.

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage sees supportive fundamentals for Asia FX, citing accommodative monetary policy, fiscal expansion and AI- and semiconductor-led export growth.

Switzerland Producer and Import Prices (MoM) below expectations (0.1%) in January: Actual (-0.2%)

Solana (SOL) price slips 6%, nearing the lower end of its consolidation range at $76.45 at the time of writing on Monday. A firm close below this level suggests a deeper correction. The derivatives data supports a bearish sentiment with SOL’s short bets rising alongside negative funding rates.

India FX Reserves, USD increased to $725.73B in February 9 from previous $717.06B

The number of United States (US) citizens submitting new unemployment insurance applications decreased to 206K, much lower than initial estimates of 225K, and down from the previous week’s revised 229K, according to the US Department of Labor.

Litecoin (LTC) trades in red below $54 at the time of writing on Thursday, after correcting by over 3% so far this week.

Solana (SOL) is trading below $82 at the time of writing on Thursday after failing to break out of the upper consolidation range over the weekend.

Ripple (XRP) is supported above $1.40, and trading around $1.47 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The increase, although minor, has erased losses posted the previous day.

Silver prices (XAG/USD) collapsed for the first time in the week, down nearly 5% sponsored by steady US Treasury yields and a firm US Dollar, which weighed on the white metal. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $73.49 after peaking at $76.87.

The United States (US) released the four-week average of the ADP Employment Change, which showed the private sector added 10.3 K jobs, beating the previous week 7.8K.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $68,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after facing rejection near the upper consolidation boundary.

Major currency pairs traded little changed on Monday as stock and bond markets in the United States (US) remained closed due to the Presidents' Day holiday.

Silver price advances bounce off daily lows around $74.01, posts gains of over 2.50% on Friday, yet it is poised to end the week on a negative note. A softer than expected US inflation report, pushed the white metal higher and traded at $77.20 a troy ounce ahead of the weekend.

Ripple (XRP) edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.