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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Drifts lower as ‘bearish flag’ emerges

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/JPY slips within 208.00–209.25 range as sellers defend near-term resistance.
  • Bearish flag pattern and weak RSI signal rising downside risks toward 207.50.
  • Break below channel support exposes 205.32 and 200-day SMA near 202.60.

GBP/JPY retreats on Monday, down 0.22% yet it remains consolidated within the 208.00-209.25 range, with traders eyeing a key break of support level seen at around 207.75. At the time of writing, the cross trades at 208.57 after reaching a high of 209.23.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The technical picture shows consolidation near the bottom of an ascending uptrend channel. Although the convergence of the support trendline and the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at around 207.60 has kept the GBP/JPY from falling, downside risks are emerging amid the formation of a ‘bearish flag.’

Momentum shows that GBP/JPY shorts have the upper hand as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains depressed below its neutral level, aiming downwards. That said, further downside is seen.

If GBP/JPY tumbles below 208.00, the next support would be key support around 207.50. On further weakness, the next stop would be the October 8 swing high turned support at 205.32, ahead of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 202.60.

Upwards, GBP/JPY buyers need to push prices past the 209.50 area, followed by 210.00. If they clear stir resistance at the confluence of the 20- and 50-day SMAs around 210.73/210.98, the GBP/JPY could be poised to test the February 10 high at 213.82.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

Pound Sterling Price This Month

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this month. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 1.47% 2.34% 0.97% 1.53% -0.16% 2.01% 1.16%
EUR -1.47% 0.85% -0.47% 0.06% -1.60% 0.53% -0.30%
GBP -2.34% -0.85% -1.34% -0.79% -2.43% -0.32% -1.15%
JPY -0.97% 0.47% 1.34% 0.54% -1.14% 1.00% 0.17%
CAD -1.53% -0.06% 0.79% -0.54% -1.67% 0.47% -0.36%
AUD 0.16% 1.60% 2.43% 1.14% 1.67% 2.16% 1.32%
NZD -2.01% -0.53% 0.32% -1.00% -0.47% -2.16% -0.83%
CHF -1.16% 0.30% 1.15% -0.17% 0.36% -1.32% 0.83%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

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Nothing in this material constitutes investment advice, personal recommendation, investment research, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content has been prepared without consideration of your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or needs, and should not be treated as such.
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