Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% through year-end. He notes inflation had been near target before an energy-driven spike revived upside risks, but growth remains volatile and productivity weak. Geffen believes policymakers will look through the external shock and maintain a steady stance given the soft domestic outlook.
External inflation seen as transitory for BoC
"The US and Canadian central banks set policy today."
"Starting, chronologically, with the Bank of Canada, we continue to expect a steady overnight policy rate at 2.25% through year end."
"Inflation had been stabilizing near target until a sharp, energy driven surge revived upside risks, while economic growth remains volatile and productivity weak."
"So, we expect the Bank to look through the externally-driven inflation shock and we see policy on hold given the soft economic outlook."
"Likewise, we see the FOMC leave US monetary policy unchanged."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Disclaimer: The content available on Mitrade Insights is provided for informational and marketing purposes only. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research
Nothing in this material constitutes investment advice, personal recommendation, investment research, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content has been prepared without consideration of your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or needs, and should not be treated as such.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Forward-looking scenarios or forecasts are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated.
Mitrade makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and accepts no liability for any loss arising from reliance on such information.