GBP/USD slumps as strong US jobs data lifts US Dollar
- GBP/USD falls 0.25% to 1.3337 as DXY hovers near 99.00.
- US jobless claims steady at 213K; layoffs drop sharply to 48.3K.
- Markets await Friday’s NFP, expected to show 59K job gains and 4.3% unemployment.
The Pound Sterling resumed its downtrend during the week, courtesy of heightened tensions in the Middle East and solid US employment data ahead of Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3337, down 0.25%.
Risk aversion from Middle East tensions and firm labor data keep Sterling under pressure
Risk appetite remains deteriorated as hostilities between the US, Israel and Iran entered its sixth day. Wall Street opened lower on Thursday, while the Greenback rallies for the third day in the week, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY).
The DXY which measures the buck’s value against six currencies, is up 0.25%, glued to the 99.00 figure.
Economic data in the US revealed that the labor market remains solid. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending February 28, were unchanged at 213K, from upward revised figures of the last week, revealed the Labor Department. Estimates were seen at 215K, and fears of further deterioration is fading as revealed by Fed officials in the Beige Book.
Policymakers revealed that the labor market is “generally stable in recent weeks as seven of the twelve districts reported no change in hiring.”
Other reports showed that companies fired 48.3K people in February, down 55% from January, revealed by Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
In the meantime, the Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin was slightly hawkish saying that recent inflation data raises doubts about whether the Fed is finished its inflation fight.
In the UK, the economic docket remains absent, yet pressures are mounting over the Prime Minister Keir Starmer, following local elections in Manchester, in which his Labor Party lost.
Aside from this, traders focus is on the US NFP report, with analysts estimating the creation of 59K jobs, and the Unemployment Rate to remain steady at 4.3%.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3331. The near-term bias is mildly bearish as spot hovers below the cluster of simple moving averages, which are rolling over near 1.35 and now track above price as dynamic resistance. The failed attempt to hold above the prior ascending support line, broken near 1.3597, reinforces the loss of upside momentum and aligns with the prevailing downward pressure suggested by the latest sequence of lower closes. The descending resistance trend line from 1.3869 continues to cap bounces and frames the broader corrective phase.
Initial resistance is seen around 1.3400, where the broken support line and nearby moving averages converge, with the descending trend line strengthening a wider cap closer to 1.3500. A daily close above 1.3500 would be needed to weaken the bearish setup and open the way toward 1.3600. On the downside, immediate support sits at the recent low near 1.3300, followed by 1.3250 and then 1.3200, where earlier reactions congregated. A break below 1.3300 would likely extend the decline toward the mid-1.31 area, in line with the current downtrend structure.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Pound Sterling Price This week
The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.60% | 0.67% | 1.07% | 0.18% | 0.50% | 0.94% | 1.84% | |
| EUR | -1.60% | -0.92% | -0.53% | -1.39% | -1.08% | -0.64% | 0.24% | |
| GBP | -0.67% | 0.92% | 0.19% | -0.48% | -0.16% | 0.28% | 1.17% | |
| JPY | -1.07% | 0.53% | -0.19% | -0.84% | -0.52% | -0.02% | 0.80% | |
| CAD | -0.18% | 1.39% | 0.48% | 0.84% | 0.29% | 0.83% | 1.66% | |
| AUD | -0.50% | 1.08% | 0.16% | 0.52% | -0.29% | 0.43% | 1.34% | |
| NZD | -0.94% | 0.64% | -0.28% | 0.02% | -0.83% | -0.43% | 0.90% | |
| CHF | -1.84% | -0.24% | -1.17% | -0.80% | -1.66% | -1.34% | -0.90% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).
Nothing in this material constitutes investment advice, personal recommendation, investment research, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content has been prepared without consideration of your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or needs, and should not be treated as such.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Forward-looking scenarios or forecasts are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated.
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