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British Pound recovers as Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on Bank of Japan's hawkish rate hike

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/JPY recovers from intraday lows despite the BoJ's hawkish rate hike.
  • Markets weigh the BoJ's slower balance-sheet reduction plans and still-negative real interest rates.
  • Traders await UK CPI, PPI and labor market data ahead of the BoE's monetary policy announcement on Thursday.

GBP/JPY rebounds after a short-lived pullback on Wednesday as traders digest the Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 215.10, recovering from an intraday low of 214.53.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened after the BoJ ended a three-meeting pause and raised its policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.00% from 0.75%, the highest level since 1995.

Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said the BoJ will "continue to raise the policy interest rate in response to developments in economic activity, prices and financial conditions."

Despite the hawkish messaging, the Yen has failed to gain traction. The muted reaction may reflect the BoJ's decision to moderate the pace of its balance-sheet reduction from April 2027 and the fact that real interest rates in Japan remain negative.

According to BBH, "the swaps curve price in 75% odds the BOJ hikes by a total of 50bps in the next twelve months. The bar for a more aggressive BOJ tightening path is high because almost all underlying CPI indicators eased further below 2% in April."

Geopolitical uncertainty is also keeping traders on the sidelines, as markets await the formal signing of the proposed US-Iran peace agreement.

Attention now turns to the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision on Thursday, where policymakers are widely expected to leave the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% for a fourth consecutive meeting. Traders will closely watch the voting split and policy guidance for clues on the future path of interest rates.

Ahead of the decision, markets will first digest the UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports on Wednesday, followed by labor market data on Thursday.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.05% 0.03% 0.03% 0.15% 0.07% -0.06% 0.12%
EUR 0.05% 0.09% 0.11% 0.21% 0.11% -0.01% 0.18%
GBP -0.03% -0.09% 0.02% 0.15% 0.02% -0.09% 0.10%
JPY -0.03% -0.11% -0.02% 0.10% 0.01% -0.10% 0.10%
CAD -0.15% -0.21% -0.15% -0.10% -0.09% -0.22% -0.04%
AUD -0.07% -0.11% -0.02% -0.01% 0.09% -0.11% 0.07%
NZD 0.06% 0.00% 0.09% 0.10% 0.22% 0.11% 0.18%
CHF -0.12% -0.18% -0.10% -0.10% 0.04% -0.07% -0.18%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

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Nothing in this material constitutes investment advice, personal recommendation, investment research, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content has been prepared without consideration of your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or needs, and should not be treated as such.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Forward-looking scenarios or forecasts are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated.
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