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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Falls to near 183.50 near nine-day EMA

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY finds immediate support at its nine-day EMA of 183.49.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47.11 signals neutral-to-soft momentum.
  • The Primary resistance sits at the 50-day EMA at 184.51.

EUR/JPY extends its losses for the third successive day, trading around 183.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47.11 reinforces a neutral-to-soft momentum backdrop rather than a decisive directional push.

The EUR/JPY cross is retaining a mildly bearish near-term bias as it holds below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) while trading just above the nine-day EMA. This split in moving averages suggests the currency cross is capped by medium-term trend resistance despite nearby short-term support.

The EUR/JPY cross faces immediate support at its nine-day Exponential Moving Average of 183.49. A decisive break below this short-term indicator would strengthen the prevailing bearish bias, potentially pressing the currency cross down toward its eight-month low of 179.37, recorded on August 3. If downward momentum continues, the next key technical target lies at the nine-month low of 175.70.

A turn to the upside would see EUR/JPY cross head toward primary resistance at its 50-day EMA near 184.51. Clearing this medium-term hurdle could signal a broader bullish resurgence, opening the path for the pair to retest the area surrounding its all-time peak of 187.95 set on April 17.

Analysts at Scotiabank note that, while "there have been no comments from FinMin Katayama or ViceMin Mimuri," local media coverage is increasingly "highlighting the potential for tension between US officials and Japan’s government as the US pushes for BoJ tightening."

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.00% -0.01% -0.08% 0.03% 0.17% 0.46% 0.03%
EUR 0.00% 0.00% -0.06% 0.00% 0.17% 0.44% 0.03%
GBP 0.00% -0.01% -0.06% 0.00% 0.19% 0.44% 0.01%
JPY 0.08% 0.06% 0.06% 0.09% 0.24% 0.48% 0.08%
CAD -0.03% -0.00% -0.01% -0.09% 0.15% 0.42% -0.01%
AUD -0.17% -0.17% -0.19% -0.24% -0.15% 0.28% -0.15%
NZD -0.46% -0.44% -0.44% -0.48% -0.42% -0.28% -0.39%
CHF -0.03% -0.03% -0.01% -0.08% 0.00% 0.15% 0.39%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

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