Japan PM Takaichi: Impact of new debt to be offset by higher tax revenue
Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Monday that the potential new debt to compensate for higher household utility and gas bills won’t impact bond markets, as it will be offset higher tax and other revenue sources.
Remarks
To implement support to curb household utility and gas bills from July to September.
Will compile an extra budget of more than 3 trillion Yen.
Will approve electricity and gas subsidy on Tuesday.
Electricity and gas subsidy to cost about 500B yen.
Will issue new deficit financing bonds to finance extra budget. Won't increase bond issuance on a calendar basis.
But will have no impact on the bond market as new debt will be offset by higher tax revenue, others.
Market reaction
No immediate response by the Japanese Yen (JPY) after Japan PM Takaichi's comments. The reasoning behind the JPY remaining unchanged after Takaichi's comments appears to be that government's decision to raise new debt has already been announced last week. As of writing, USD/JPY trades 0.2% higher to near 159.00.
Japanese Yen FAQs
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.
One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.
Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.
The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
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