Swiss Franc flattens against US Dollar as investors await US-Iran deal announcement
- The Swiss Franc ranges around 0.7870 vs. the US Dollar, with investors awaiting US-Iran deal confirmation.
- The issues regarding the handover of uranium enrichment by Iran to the US and the authority on Hormuz remain unsolved.
- Flash US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI surprisingly expanded at a faster pace to 55.3 in May.
The Swiss Franc trades flat against the US Dollar (USD) around 0.7870 during the Asian trading session on Friday. The USD/CHF pair consolidates as investors await the confirmation of a prolonged peace deal between the United States (US) and Iran, following the announcement that both sides have reached a “final draft” with mediation from Pakistan.
As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 99.27.
On Thursday, market sentiment turned favorable for riskier assets after the Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA) reported that a final draft between Washington and Tehran has been reached and a deal can be announced within next few hours.
However, Iran still seems not ready to surrender its enriched uranium and wants recognition of its authority on the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.
On the economic data, front preliminary S&P Global Composite PMI data for May has come in steady at 51.7 as an unexpected strong growth in the manufacturing sector activity offsets the impact of moderate expansion in the Services PMI.
In the Swiss economy, investors seek fresh cues regarding whether the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will call for an exit from its dovish monetary policy stance due to rising global inflationary pressures amid elevated oil prices.
US Dollar FAQs
The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world’s reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.
The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.
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