Indonesian Rupiah gains on easing risk aversion, hawkish BI outlook
- USD/IDR falls as easing risk aversion and a US-Iran peace deal cause the US Dollar to weaken.
- US Dollar holds losses on fading safe-haven demand following the US-Iran peace deal.
- The Indonesian Rupiah gains as traders wager that Bank Indonesia would maintain its hawkish tightening bias in June.
USD/IDR extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 17,730 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) depreciates on easing risk aversion following the reports that the United States (US) and Iran reached a deal to end their conflict.
The US-Iran deal, announced on Sunday, is set to take effect this Friday. As part of the agreement, US President Donald Trump stated that the United States will lift its naval blockade on Iranian ports, allowing the critical Strait of Hormuz to reopen. In a coordinated response, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Italy announced they are prepared to lift sanctions on Iran following steps taken regarding its nuclear program.
The Greenback struggles as the US-Iran peace agreement eases concerns about inflation and higher interest rates. Market expectations for monetary policy have shifted dramatically. The CME FedWatch tool now indicates a nearly 47% probability that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold interest rates unchanged in December, a sharp increase from the 28% priced in just last week.
The Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) finds support as traders wager that Bank Indonesia (BI) will maintain its hawkish tightening bias at Thursday's meeting, following a cumulative 75 basis points of rate hikes since May. The Rupiah is also drawing sentiment from political backing; last week, Deputy House Speaker Sufmi Dasco urged citizens to sell their US dollars to help stabilize the local currency after it hit consecutive record lows.
US Dollar Price Last 7 Days
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. US Dollar was the weakest against the Indonesian Rupiah.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | IDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.78% | -0.82% | -0.13% | 0.26% | -0.71% | -1.10% | -1.79% | |
| EUR | 0.78% | -0.07% | 0.74% | 1.05% | 0.07% | -0.31% | -2.04% | |
| GBP | 0.82% | 0.07% | 0.75% | 1.12% | 0.14% | -0.25% | 0.00% | |
| JPY | 0.13% | -0.74% | -0.75% | 0.35% | -0.59% | -1.02% | -2.37% | |
| CAD | -0.26% | -1.05% | -1.12% | -0.35% | -0.90% | -1.36% | -2.53% | |
| AUD | 0.71% | -0.07% | -0.14% | 0.59% | 0.90% | -0.38% | -2.50% | |
| NZD | 1.10% | 0.31% | 0.25% | 1.02% | 1.36% | 0.38% | -1.04% | |
| IDR | 1.79% | 2.04% | 0.00% | 2.37% | 2.53% | 2.50% | 1.04% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Forward-looking scenarios or forecasts are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated.
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