Danske Research Team reports that UK headline CPI rose to 3.5% year-on-year in September, with core and services inflation also edging higher and exceeding Bank of England projections. On the back of stronger inflation and resilient activity, the bank now expects a BoE rate hike in November to reinforce inflation-targeting credibility.
Higher CPI prompts forecast revision
"In the UK, September CPI inflation rose to 3.5% y/y from 3.1%, core inflation to 2.8% from 2.6% and services inflation to 3.7% from 3.4%."
"Slightly higher than consensus and above the Bank of England's (BoE) forecast."
"We are adjusting our BoE forecast to include a rate hike in November, as inflation concerns have risen and growth has strengthened."
"Activity has proven more resilient than expected in recent months and the labour market is showing signs of stabilisation."
"We believe the BoE will act to contain inflation risks and prioritise the credibility of its inflation target."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
Disclaimer: The content available on Mitrade Insights is provided for informational and marketing purposes only. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research
Nothing in this material constitutes investment advice, personal recommendation, investment research, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content has been prepared without consideration of your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or needs, and should not be treated as such.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Forward-looking scenarios or forecasts are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated.
Mitrade makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and accepts no liability for any loss arising from reliance on such information.